All Picks
NBA · Spread
Golden State Warriors
@
LA Clippers
Date
Mon, Apr 13
Time
12:30 AM
Venue
Intuit Dome
Spread
Warriors +6.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Warriors +6.5
-110 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
The Warriors' injury situation is severe, but the market has already priced in a large number — and with Kawhi questionable, the Clippers' own roster uncertainty and mediocre home ATS performance make +6.5 a viable lean for Golden State to keep it close.
Key Factors
Warriors are 14-17 ATS (+.452) as road underdogs vs Clippers 19-25 ATS (.432) as home favorites — GSW covers more often in this role
Clippers on L2 streak and 4-6 ATS in last 10, same as Warriors — no meaningful recent ATS edge for LAC to justify a 6.5-point number
Clippers home ATS record is only 21-19 (.525), not elite enough to support laying 6.5 with Kawhi Leonard listed as questionable (day-to-day = likely out)
Head-to-head this season: Warriors are 2-1 in the series with two of three games decided by 13 points or fewer, suggesting competitive matchups