All Picks
NBA · SpreadLost
Miami Heat
@
Charlotte Hornets
Date
Tue, Apr 14
Time
11:30 PM
Venue
Spectrum Center
Spread
Hornets -5.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Hornets -5.5
-110 · 1 Unit
70%
❌ Loss
Miami Heat 126, Charlotte Hornets 127
-100.00u
The Edge
Charlotte's superior point differential, home court, elite shooting efficiency, and Miami's injury attrition give the Hornets enough of a multi-factor edge to cover the 5.5 in a Play-In game they are better equipped to win.
Key Factors
Charlotte's point differential (+4.8) is double Miami's (+2.4), a +2.4 edge that translates to real team quality
Charlotte ranks top-5 in two of three shooting metrics: 3P% at 37.8% (#3) and FT% at 81.8% (#2)
Miami is missing Nikola Jovic (F) and Dru Smith (G) — two rotation pieces in a Play-In game where every body matters — and Larsson is questionable (day-to-day typically means out)
Charlotte's home record (21-20) vs Miami's road record (17-24) favors the Hornets, and home court in a Play-In atmosphere adds meaningful crowd pressure