All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
Cleveland Guardians
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Date
Tue, Apr 14
Time
11:45 PM
Venue
Busch Stadium
Spread
Guardians ML
Odds
-122
Risk
MOD
PICK
Guardians ML
-122 · 1 Unit
72%
❌ Loss
Cleveland Guardians 5, St. Louis Cardinals 6
-100.00u
The Edge
Cleveland's superior bullpen and team pitching metrics, combined with a dominant recent ATS trend and momentum off a blowout win in this same series, give the Guardians a modest but real edge at a manageable -122 price.
Key Factors
Cleveland is 7-3 ATS last 10 vs. St. Louis's 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 40-point gap in recent cover rate
Cleveland's team ERA (3.99) is significantly better than St. Louis's (5.15) — a 1.16 gap indicating a clear pitching quality edge
Cleveland's team WHIP (1.29) vs. St. Louis's (1.50) reinforces the pitching staff advantage beyond just ERA
Cardinals are on a 3-game losing streak including a 9-3 blowout loss to this same Cleveland team on Apr 13