All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
New York Mets
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Date
Wed, Apr 15
Time
2:10 AM
Venue
Dodger Stadium
Spread
Dodgers ML
Odds
-219
Risk
MOD
PICK
Dodgers ML
-219 · 1 Unit
75%
✅ Winner
New York Mets 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 2
+45.66u
The Edge
The Dodgers' overwhelming offensive superiority (.862 vs .638 OPS), superior run differential, and hot ATS form make them the clear side at home against a Mets team in freefall on a 6-game skid.
Key Factors
Dodgers team OPS of .862 vs Mets .638 — a .224 gap that is the largest offensive quality edge in this dataset
Dodgers 7-3 ATS last 10 games vs Mets 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 40-point ATS win rate gap in recent form
Dodgers +2.9 run differential edge on the season (+2.4 avg margin vs Mets -0.4)
Mets on a 6-game losing streak including a 0-4 shutout loss to this same Dodgers team yesterday, with Juan Soto (RF) on the 10-day IL