All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
St. Louis Blues
Date
Wed, Apr 15
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
Enterprise Center
Spread
Penguins ML
Odds
+114
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Penguins ML
+114 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Pittsburgh's superior offensive output, elite road ATS record, and plus-money underdog price create a slight lean on the Penguins ML, though the missing goalie data and Pittsburgh's recent two-game skid cap this at a lean rather than a firm pick.
Key Factors
Pittsburgh scores 3.52 goals/game vs. St. Louis's 2.73 — a 0.79 goal/game offensive edge that is the largest single team quality gap in this matchup
Penguins are 28-12 (.700) ATS on the road this season — elite road performance that is one of the strongest splits in the data
Pittsburgh is priced as an underdog at +114 despite holding a superior overall record (41-24-16, .605 win%) vs. St. Louis (35-33-12, .512 win%)
Penguins PP goals/game (0.69) nearly doubles the Blues' (0.46), giving Pittsburgh a significant special teams scoring edge