All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Dallas Stars
@
Buffalo Sabres
Date
Wed, Apr 15
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
KeyBank Center
Spread
Sabres ML
Odds
-108
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Sabres ML
-108 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Buffalo at near-even money (-108) offers slight value given Dallas's key injuries, superior Sabres ATS profile, and home-ice advantage, but the thin moneyline spread and Dallas's overall record keep this a lean rather than a strong pick.
Key Factors
Buffalo's ATS overall win rate is 47-34 (.580) vs Dallas's 32-49 (.395) — an 18-point gap that reflects consistent value
Dallas is missing Roope Hintz (C) and Miro Heiskanen (D), two of their most impactful two-way players, significantly weakening both ends
Buffalo's team SV% is 90.7% (#3 in NHL) vs Dallas's 90.2% (#7), giving a slight crease edge to the home side
Buffalo has covered 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite (-1.5), including dominant wins of 5-1 and 5-0, showing strong recent form