All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
New York Rangers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
Date
Wed, Apr 15
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
Benchmark International Arena
Spread
Rangers ML
Odds
-105
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rangers ML
-105 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
The near-even moneyline price combined with Rangers' elite road ATS record and Tampa's persistent home ATS failures creates a slight lean toward NYR ML as a value play, though Tampa's superior team quality keeps this firmly in LEAN territory.
Key Factors
Rangers are 23-17 (.575) ATS on the road this season — one of the strongest road ATS marks in the data; Tampa Bay is only 16-24 (.400) ATS at home
Tampa Bay has gone just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, signaling a team that is consistently failing to cover expectations despite their record
Moneyline price is nearly a pick'em (NYR -105 vs TB -115), meaning the market sees this as close to even — Rangers road ATS edge is not priced in
NYR team SV% is 90.4% (#4 in league) vs TB 90.2% (#7), with Shesterkin in net — crease quality is comparable or slightly favors NYR, neutralizing Tampa's home advantage