All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
Seattle Mariners
@
San Diego Padres
Date
Fri, Apr 17
Time
12:40 AM
Venue
Petco Park
Spread
Padres ML
Odds
+100
Risk
MOD
PICK
Padres ML
+100 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
The Padres' dominant home/road split advantage, 9-1 ATS run, and series momentum against this specific Mariners road team justify a lean on San Diego ML at plus money.
Key Factors
Padres are 9-1 ATS last 10 games vs. Mariners 3-7 ATS last 10 — a 35% ATS win rate gap
Padres home record 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS (.750); Mariners road record 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS (.125)
Padres have won 7 straight and are 2-0 in this series, outscoring Seattle 11-7 in the prior two games
Padres team OPS .704 vs. Mariners .704 — SD offense is superior (.236 BA vs. .209 BA) and Buehler's 4.97 ERA edges Castillo's ugly 6.92 ERA in early-season results