All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Los Angeles Kings
@
Calgary Flames
Date
Fri, Apr 17
Time
1:00 AM
Venue
Scotiabank Saddledome
Spread
Kings ML
Odds
-155
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Kings ML
-155 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
LA is the better team by goal differential and series record, but the -155 juice combined with their historically awful road favorite ATS record limits this to a lean rather than a confident pick.
Key Factors
LA holds a +0.42 goal differential edge over Calgary, whose point differential sits at -0.6 vs LA's -0.2 — a meaningful team quality gap
LA's road record is 20-9-11 SU (.525 win%) vs Calgary's home record of 22-13-5 (.595), but Calgary's overall win% is only .463 vs LA's .556
LA leads the season series 2-1 and has won both road meetings (Mar 01: 2-0, Dec 14: 1-2 road win) against Calgary this year
Calgary's team GAA of 3.15 (#9 worst) and Arsenii Sergeev (unproven starter) in net is a crease vulnerability, while LA's team SV% of 89.9% is comparable and Forsberg is the more experienced option