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NHL · Moneyline
Minnesota Wild
@
Dallas Stars
Date
Sat, Apr 18
Time
9:30 PM
Venue
American Airlines Center
Spread
Wild ML
Odds
+100
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Wild ML
+100 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Minnesota at even money (+100) offers genuine value against a Dallas team that is historically bad ATS at home (12-29) and cold ATS over the last 10, making this a LEAN on the Wild ML despite Dallas's home-ice win streak.
Key Factors
Dallas is only 12-29 (.293) ATS at home this season — one of the worst home ATS marks in the league, and Minnesota is +12% ahead in overall ATS win rate (41-40 vs 32-50)
Minnesota carries a superior team SV% of 90.8% (#2 in the league) vs Dallas at 90.2% (#8), giving the Wild a meaningful crease edge with Gustavsson expected
Wild are 22-18 (.550) ATS on the road this season, qualifying as an elite road team, while Dallas is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games despite a 5-game win streak
Minnesota is available at +100 moneyline — true even-money on a team with a .634 win percentage facing a side that has failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 home games