All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
New York Mets
@
Chicago Cubs
Date
Sat, Apr 18
Time
6:20 PM
Venue
Wrigley Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
-115
Risk
MOD
PICK
Cubs ML
-115 · 1 Unit
73%
✅ Winner
New York Mets 2, Chicago Cubs 4
+86.96u
The Edge
The Cubs are the clear team-quality side at a modest -115 price, backed by a dominant offensive gap, superior run differential, and home-field momentum against a Mets squad in freefall.
Key Factors
Cubs team OPS .748 vs. Mets .748 — wait, Cubs .748 vs. Mets .632, a .116 OPS gap, and Cubs have scored 106 runs vs. Mets' 69 on the season
Cubs run differential +1.4 vs. Mets -1.1, a +2.5 gap flagged as the key signal
Cubs W3 streak vs. Mets L9 streak — including a 12-4 blowout of this same Mets squad yesterday
Pitcher ERA edge: Peralta 3.86 vs. Taillon 4.86 favors the Mets arm, but Cubs team ERA 3.89 vs. Mets 4.21 and WHIP 1.18 vs. 1.31 show the Cubs bullpen/staff is superior overall; wind 8 mph out to RF benefits the higher-OPS Cubs lineup