All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
Kansas City Royals
@
New York Yankees
Date
Sat, Apr 18
Time
5:35 PM
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-181
Risk
MOD
PICK
Yankees ML
-181 · 1 Unit
72%
✅ Winner
Kansas City Royals 4, New York Yankees 13
+55.25u
The Edge
The Yankees hold a real pitching and offensive edge at home with a park that amplifies their power advantage, making them a moderate-confidence moneyline pick at -181 — just within the acceptable juice range given the multi-factor edge.
Key Factors
Pitcher ERA edge: Will Warren at 2.45 ERA vs Noah Cameron at 3.94 ERA — a 1.49-run differential that meets the 1.5 threshold for a significant lean
Yankees team offense leads KC in runs scored 90 vs 67 and OPS .696 vs .639 on the season
Yankees team ERA (3.55) and WHIP (1.19) are both superior to KC's ERA (4.10) and WHIP (1.32), indicating a better overall pitching staff
Yankee Stadium HR factor of 1.28 and wind blowing out to RF at 8 mph at 72°F favors the Yankees' more powerful lineup (25 HR vs KC's 16 HR)