All Picks
NBA · SpreadWon
Atlanta Hawks
@
New York Knicks
Date
Sat, Apr 18
Time
10:00 PM
Venue
Madison Square Garden
Spread
Knicks -5.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Knicks -5.5
-110 · 1 Unit
72%
✅ Winner
Atlanta Hawks 102, New York Knicks 113
+90.91u
The Edge
The Knicks' superior Net Rating, elite home record, and defensive efficiency give them enough structural edge to cover -5.5 against a Hawks team with a pace mismatch but inferior overall metrics.
Key Factors
Knicks Net Rating +6.3 vs Hawks +2.3 — a +4.0 gap, the strongest team-quality predictor available
Knicks home record 30-10 vs Hawks road record 22-19 — elite home team facing a below-.550 road team
Knicks Defensive Rating 110.5 vs Hawks PPG 118.5 — Hawks score a lot but Knicks defense is equipped to contain them
Knicks ORB% 29.3 vs Hawks 24.4 — meaningful rebounding edge that generates extra possessions at home