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NBA · SpreadWon
Portland Trail Blazers
@
San Antonio Spurs
Date
Mon, Apr 20
Time
1:00 AM
Venue
Frost Bank Center
Spread
Spurs -10.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Spurs -10.5
-110 · 1 Unit
73%
✅ Winner
Portland Trail Blazers 98, San Antonio Spurs 111
+90.91u
The Edge
San Antonio's elite home record, massive Net Rating edge, and Lillard's absence create enough layered advantages to back the Spurs, though the -10.5 number demands a dominant performance to cover.
Key Factors
Net Rating gap: Spurs +8.1 vs Blazers -0.3, a +8.4 differential — the strongest team-quality signal available
Damian Lillard (OUT) is Portland's franchise player; a star absence is worth a 3-5 pt line swing, effectively making this closer to a pick-'em talent gap
Spurs home record 32-8 vs Blazers road record 18-23 — San Antonio is dominant at Frost Bank Center
Spurs dominate every efficiency metric: FG% 48.3% vs 45.3%, TOV% 11.8 vs 14.6, eFG% 55.9 vs 53.4, and PPG 119.8 (#3) vs 115.5 (#16)