All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
New York Mets
@
Chicago Cubs
Date
Sun, Apr 19
Time
6:20 PM
Venue
Wrigley Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
PICK
Cubs ML
-136 · 1 Unit
75%
✅ Winner
New York Mets 1, Chicago Cubs 2
+73.53u
The Edge
The Cubs are the clear side here at a reasonable -136 price, backed by superior team ERA, a dominant run differential edge, a 4-game win streak, a depleted Mets roster, and home-field advantage at Wrigley in favorable conditions.
Key Factors
Cubs are 11-9 (.550) vs Mets 7-14 (.333) — a 21.7% win rate gap, and Cubs own a +2.5 run differential edge (+1.4 vs -1.1)
Cubs on a W4 streak, Mets on an L10 streak — Cubs have outscored opponents 110 runs to Mets' 71 on the season
Cubs team ERA 3.74 / WHIP 1.19 vs Mets team ERA 4.22 / WHIP 1.29 — Cubs bullpen is the real edge given Assad's rough ERA
Cubs ATS last 10 is 6-4 vs Mets' 1-9, and Cubs are 2-0 in this series already (W 12-4, W 4-2) — clear momentum and matchup familiarity
Wind 8 mph out to RF at Wrigley with 72°F clear conditions slightly favors the Cubs' superior offensive OPS (.745 vs .632)