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MLB · MoneylineLost
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Date
Sun, Apr 19
Time
8:10 PM
Venue
Chase Field
Spread
Diamondbacks ML
Odds
-108
Risk
MOD
PICK
Diamondbacks ML
-108 · 1 Unit
78%
❌ Loss
Toronto Blue Jays 10, Arizona Diamondbacks 4
-100.00u
The Edge
Arizona's overwhelming home/ATS dominance, superior team ERA, and momentum from winning the first two games of this series make the Diamondbacks the clear value side at near-even money (-108).
Key Factors
Arizona ATS dominance: 17-4 overall (.810) vs Toronto's 5-15 (.250) — a 56% gap in ATS win rate
Arizona home record 7-2 SU and 7-2 ATS (.778) vs Toronto's road record of 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS (.125)
Team ERA edge: Arizona 3.72 vs Toronto 4.58 — an 0.86 gap, with WHIP 1.22 vs 1.33 reinforcing pitching quality
Arizona has won 4 straight and already beat Toronto 6-2 and 6-3 in this same series; Toronto is on an L4 skid