All Picks
NHL · MoneylineWon
Los Angeles Kings
@
Colorado Avalanche
Date
Sun, Apr 19
Time
7:00 PM
Venue
Ball Arena
Spread
Avalanche ML
Odds
-278
Risk
MOD
PICK
Avalanche ML
-278 · 1 Unit
76%
✅ Winner
Los Angeles Kings 1, Colorado Avalanche 2
+35.97u
The Edge
Colorado's across-the-board advantages in goaltending, offense, team quality, and momentum justify a PICK, but the -278 price compresses value enough that confidence sits at 76 — just clearing the NHL threshold.
Key Factors
Mackenzie Blackwood (.904 SV%, 2.51 GAA, 23-10) meaningfully outperforms Darcy Kuemper (.891 SV%, 2.78 GAA, 19-14) — a +0.013 SV% gap that is significant at the crease
Colorado's team SV% is 91.4% (#4 in NHL) vs LA's 89.9% (#13) — a +0.015 team goaltending quality gap
Colorado scores 3.63 goals/game vs LA's 2.68 — a +0.95 offensive edge, backed by 33.7 shots/game vs 28.0
Colorado's record (55-16-11, .738 win%) and +1.2 point differential vs LA's .549 win% and -0.2 point differential, with Colorado on a W3 streak vs LA's L2