All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
Detroit Tigers
@
Boston Red Sox
Date
Mon, Apr 20
Time
3:10 PM
Venue
Fenway Park
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
PICK
Tigers ML
+113 · 1 Unit
72%
❌ Loss
Detroit Tigers 6, Boston Red Sox 8
-100.00u
The Edge
Detroit's superior pitching, run differential edge, dominant ATS form, and underdog value at +113 combine for a clear lean on the Tigers to win outright in the series finale.
Key Factors
Detroit is +113 on the moneyline despite superior team quality — +1.6 run differential edge and a 12-10 record vs Boston's 8-13
Detroit's 8-2 ATS run last 10 games vs Boston's 4-6 ATS last 10 signals real momentum and market inefficiency
Detroit's team ERA (3.27) is significantly better than Boston's (4.35), and opponent OPS allowed (0.637 vs 0.728) reinforces Detroit's pitching superiority
Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog this season (.833), making this exact spot — underdog on the road at plus money — their strongest historical profile