All Picks
NBA · SpreadLost
Atlanta Hawks
@
New York Knicks
Date
Tue, Apr 21
Time
12:00 AM
Venue
Madison Square Garden
Spread
Knicks -5.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Knicks -5.5
-110 · 1 Unit
72%
❌ Loss
Atlanta Hawks 107, New York Knicks 106
-100.00u
The Edge
The Knicks' superior efficiency, dominant home record, recent ATS heat, and Game 1 win all point to New York covering -5.5 in a playoff rematch where they hold clear structural advantages.
Key Factors
Knicks Net Rating +6.3 vs Hawks +2.3 — a +4.0 gap, the strongest team-quality predictor available
Knicks 30-10 at home (.750 SU) vs Hawks 22-19 on the road — elite home court dominance
Knicks 7-3 ATS last 10 games — a meaningful hot streak per methodology (7-3 matters)
Knicks won Game 1 of this series 113-102 at home, covering as a favorite — direct head-to-head evidence