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NBA · SpreadWon
Minnesota Timberwolves
@
Denver Nuggets
Date
Tue, Apr 21
Time
2:30 AM
Venue
Ball Arena
Spread
Timberwolves +6.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Timberwolves +6.5
-110 · 1 Unit
72%
✅ Winner
Minnesota Timberwolves 119, Denver Nuggets 114
+90.91u
The Edge
Denver's poor home ATS record and Minnesota's elite underdog ATS record make 6.5 points too many to lay in a playoff rematch where the Wolves will be motivated to adjust after Game 1.
Key Factors
Denver covers only 43.9% ATS at home (18-23) — well below the .500 threshold that makes laying 6.5 points dangerous
Minnesota is 13-7 (.650) ATS as an underdog this season, a strong and meaningful sample
Timberwolves are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 vs. Denver's 4-6 ATS last 10 — Minnesota trending up, Denver trending down
Anthony Edwards is day-to-day (questionable) but Denver's only confirmed absence is Peyton Watson, making the injury impact roughly a wash or slight MIN edge if Edwards plays