All Picks
NBA · SpreadLost
Toronto Raptors
@
Cleveland Cavaliers
Date
Mon, Apr 20
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
Rocket Arena
Spread
Raptors +8.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Raptors +8.5
-110 · 1 Unit
72%
❌ Loss
Toronto Raptors 105, Cleveland Cavaliers 115
-100.00u
The Edge
Toronto's elite road ATS record and strong underdog ATS history give them enough value at +8.5 to cover against a Cleveland team that is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 and only modestly better on the efficiency metrics.
Key Factors
Toronto is 24-17 (.585) ATS on the road — elite road ATS performance that historically holds value in playoff series
Raptors are 39-28 (.582) ATS as underdogs, while Cavaliers are only 6-3 (.667) ATS as home favorites — small sample for CLE at home as favorite
Both teams share identical season ATS records (49-33, .598), and CLE is only 4-6 ATS in their last 10 — cooling off against the number
Point differential edge for CLE is modest (+4.1 vs +2.8), only +1.3 gap — not enough to justify an 8.5-point spread after accounting for ~3 pts home court already baked in