All Picks
NHL · MoneylineLost
Minnesota Wild
@
Dallas Stars
Date
Tue, Apr 21
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
American Airlines Center
Spread
Wild ML
Odds
+114
Risk
MOD
PICK
Wild ML
+114 · 1 Unit
76%
❌ Loss
Minnesota Wild 2, Dallas Stars 4
-100.00u
The Edge
Minnesota at +114 offers genuine underdog value backed by a superior starting goalie, elite road ATS performance, and a Dallas team in a 5-game losing skid — the price does not match the edge.
Key Factors
Goalie edge: Wallstedt .916 SV% vs Oettinger .899 SV% — a +0.017 gap that is considered significant at the NHL level
Minnesota is 24-17 (.585) ATS on the road this season — an elite road ATS mark that directly applies here
Dallas is ice cold ATS at 3-7 last 10 and lost all 5 of their last 5 games outright, including a 1-6 blowout to Minnesota on Apr 18
Minnesota is a +114 underdog despite holding a +10.0 point differential edge over Dallas — strong positive expected value on the moneyline price