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NBA · SpreadLost
Portland Trail Blazers
@
San Antonio Spurs
Date
Wed, Apr 22
Time
12:00 AM
Venue
Frost Bank Center
Spread
Spurs -11.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Spurs -11.5
-110 · 1 Unit
73%
❌ Loss
Portland Trail Blazers 106, San Antonio Spurs 103
-100.00u
The Edge
San Antonio's dominant home record, elite shooting efficiency, and massive Net Rating edge over a short-handed Portland squad make the Spurs the clear side, even at -11.5.
Key Factors
Spurs +8.4 Net Rating vs Blazers -0.3 — an 8.7-point gap, the cleanest team-quality signal available
Spurs FG% 47.6% (#8) vs Blazers 42.9% (#26); Spurs 3P% 45.5% (#2) vs Blazers 26.3% (#29) — elite vs. bottom-tier shooting
Spurs 32-8 at home this season (.800 win rate) and already beat Portland 111-98 in Game 1 of this series
Damian Lillard (OUT) is a 3-5 pt line swing for Portland, further widening an already large talent gap