All Picks
NHL · MoneylineLost
Utah Mammoth
@
Vegas Golden Knights
Date
Wed, Apr 22
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Spread
Golden Knights ML
Odds
-155
Risk
MOD
PICK
Golden Knights ML
-155 · 1 Unit
76%
❌ Loss
Utah Mammoth 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2
-100.00u
The Edge
Vegas's elite team goaltending (93.9% SV%, 2.00 GAA), home-ice advantage, W3 streak, and Game 1 win over this same Utah squad provide enough layered edge to back the Golden Knights ML at a manageable -155 price.
Key Factors
Vegas team SV% is 93.9% (#4) vs Utah's 90.0% (#14) — a 3.9-point gap that is among the largest team-level crease differentials in the league
Vegas allows just 2.00 GAA vs Utah's 4.00 GAA — a 2-goal-per-game defensive edge that is the single largest team quality gap in this dataset
Vegas won Game 1 of this series 4-2 on Apr 20 and is riding a W3 streak; Utah's last game was that loss
Vegas ATS as home underdog is 13-2 (.867) — elite cover rate when catching plus money at home, and their overall ATS of 47-35 (.573) leads Utah's 39-43 (.476) by 10 percentage points