All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
Minnesota Twins
@
New York Mets
Date
Wed, Apr 22
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Twins ML
Odds
+135
Risk
MOD
PICK
Twins ML
+135 · 1 Unit
72%
❌ Loss
Minnesota Twins 2, New York Mets 3
-100.00u
The Edge
The Twins ML at +135 offers strong underdog value against a historically cold Mets team, with Minnesota's superior run differential, road ATS record, and offensive edge justifying a PICK on the plus-money side.
Key Factors
Twins are +135 underdogs despite a +1.7 run differential edge and a 12-11 (.522) record vs Mets 7-16 (.304) — significant mispricing by the market
Mets have lost 12 straight games and are 2-8 ATS at home this season (.200), the worst home ATS mark in this dataset
Twins are 6-4 (.600) ATS on the road this season and 12-7 (.632) ATS as underdogs — elite underdog profile
Twins team OPS of .707 vs Mets .617 — a 90-point gap in offensive production, and Twins have scored 117 runs vs Mets 75 on the season