All Picks
NHL · MoneylineLost
Dallas Stars
@
Minnesota Wild
Date
Thu, Apr 23
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
Grand Casino Arena
Spread
Wild ML
Odds
-130
Risk
MOD
PICK
Wild ML
-130 · 1 Unit
76%
❌ Loss
Dallas Stars 4, Minnesota Wild 3
-100.00u
The Edge
Minnesota's elite team goaltending, superior GAA, and individual crease advantage over a Dallas team that is bleeding goals (4.00 allowed/game, 87.9% SV%) make the Wild a credible -130 favorite with genuine statistical backing at a manageable price.
Key Factors
Minnesota team SV% is 93.2% (#6) vs Dallas 87.9% (#30) — a 5.3-point gap that is the largest single team-level edge in this matchup
Wallstedt's individual SV% (0.916) outpaces Oettinger's (0.899) by +0.017 — a significant crease quality gap at the goalie level
Minnesota allows only 2.50 goals/game vs Dallas allowing 4.00 — a 1.50 GAA differential that reflects a structurally superior defensive team
Dallas is 3-7 ATS last 10 and went 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games, showing a team trending in the wrong direction despite a W5 streak