All Picks
NHL · MoneylineWon
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Philadelphia Flyers
Date
Wed, Apr 22
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Spread
Flyers ML
Odds
-115
Risk
MOD
PICK
Flyers ML
-115 · 1 Unit
76%
✅ Winner
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Philadelphia Flyers 5
+86.96u
The Edge
Philadelphia's goaltending, defensive metrics, recent form, and head-to-head dominance all point the same direction at a near-even price (-115), making the Flyers ML a clear value play despite their poor home ATS history.
Key Factors
Goalie edge: Dan Vladar 0.906 SV% / 2.42 GAA vs Stuart Skinner 0.888 SV% / 2.92 GAA — +0.018 SV% and -0.50 GAA in Vladar's favor
Team SV% gap is enormous: PHI 95.5% (#3) vs PIT 88.1% (#28) — a 7.4-point team goaltending advantage
Philadelphia allows 2.00 fewer goals per game (1.00 vs 3.00) and holds a +4.0 point differential edge over Pittsburgh
Head-to-head dominance: PHI has won both meetings this season (3-0 and 3-2), including a 3-0 shutout on Apr 20 — Pittsburgh's last game was a loss to this same Flyers squad
PHI riding a W3 streak vs PIT on an L3 streak, and PHI is fresh off a 3-0 win over Pittsburgh as most recent game