All Picks
MLB · MoneylineActive
Philadelphia Phillies
@
Chicago Cubs
Date
Thu, Apr 23
Time
6:20 PM
Venue
Wrigley Field
Spread
Cubs ML
Odds
+102
Risk
MOD
PICK
Cubs ML
+102 · 1 Unit
78%
The Edge
Cubs ML at +102 offers plus-money value on the superior team by ERA, run differential, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, making this a PICK with the line providing built-in value.
Key Factors
Cubs team ERA of 3.39 vs. Phillies team ERA of 5.05 — a 1.66 gap representing a significant pitching quality edge
Cubs OPS of .765 vs. Phillies .765 — wait, Cubs .765 vs. Phillies .653 — a .112 OPS gap with Cubs scoring 131 runs vs. PHI's 82 in comparable games played
Cubs 7-3 ATS last 10 vs. Phillies 1-9 ATS last 10 — a 33% ATS win rate differential with PHI on an L8 streak
Cubs as home underdog this season: 5-2 ATS (.714) — plus-money line at +102 with a team playing at home on an 8-game win streak