All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Chicago White Sox
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Date
Thu, Apr 23
Time
7:40 PM
Venue
Chase Field
Spread
Diamondbacks ML
Odds
-156
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Diamondbacks ML
-156 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Arizona is the cleaner side given superior home splits, better team pitching, and a dominant ATS record, but Martin's 2.16 ERA keeps this a LEAN rather than a PICK at -156.
Key Factors
Arizona is 18-6 ATS overall (.750) vs Chicago's 11-13 ATS (.458) — a 29% gap in ATS win rate
Arizona home record is 8-4 (.667) vs Chicago road record of 6-9 (.400)
Michael Soroka is 4-0 with a 2.78 ERA; Arizona team ERA (4.43) and WHIP (1.32) both significantly better than Chicago's ERA (5.13) and WHIP (1.50)
Arizona's team OPS (.729) and BA (.251) both outpace Chicago's OPS (.702) and BA (.222), and Arizona has scored 115 runs vs Chicago's 100