All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers
@
Anaheim Ducks
Date
Sat, Apr 25
Time
2:00 AM
Venue
Honda Center
Spread
Ducks ML
Odds
+110
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Ducks ML
+110 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Anaheim ML at +110 is a LEAN based on strong home ATS history and team defensive metrics, but Ingram's individual goalie edge and Edmonton's offensive volume prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Anaheim ATS at home: 27-14 (.659) vs Edmonton ATS on road: 17-24 (.415) — a 24-point gap in cover rate
Anaheim team SV% 88.7% (#26) vs Edmonton team SV% 85.5% (#32) — a +0.032 team goaltending edge favoring the Ducks
Anaheim allows 0.50 fewer goals per game (4.00 vs 4.50) and holds a +1.0 point differential edge over Edmonton
Anaheim won the most recent head-to-head 6-4 on Apr 23, and Edmonton's last 10 ATS record is a cold 3-7