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NBA · SpreadActive
Oklahoma City Thunder
@
Phoenix Suns
Date
Sat, Apr 25
Time
7:30 PM
Venue
Mortgage Matchup Center
Spread
Thunder -9.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Thunder -9.5
-110 · 1 Unit
78%
The Edge
Despite Jalen Williams being out, OKC's overwhelming efficiency edge, dominant ATS trends, and two blowout wins over Phoenix this season make the Thunder the clear side to back at -9.5.
Key Factors
OKC's Net Rating of +10.9 vs PHX's +1.5 — a +9.4 gap, the strongest team-quality predictor available
Thunder are 8-2 ATS last 10 games while Suns are 2-8 ATS last 10 — a 60-point swing in recent ATS form
OKC won both prior meetings this season by 13 and 36 points (107-120 and 84-119), covering both times
PHX is only 16-25 (.390) ATS at home this season while OKC is 26-14 (.650) ATS on the road — elite road team vs weak home cover rate