All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Philadelphia Flyers
Date
Sun, Apr 26
Time
12:00 AM
Venue
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Spread
Flyers ML
Odds
-120
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Flyers ML
-120 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Lean Flyers ML on the strength of an overwhelming goaltending and goal-differential edge, but Vladar's injury tag and Philadelphia's poor home ATS record prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Team SV% edge: Flyers 94.7% (#2) vs Penguins 87.3% (#31) — a 7.4-point gap that is the largest team-level crease quality differential possible
Starting goalie edge: Dan Vladar 0.906 SV% / 2.42 GAA vs Stuart Skinner 0.888 SV% / 2.92 GAA — Vladar is +0.018 SV% and -0.50 GAA
Season series dominance: Flyers have swept Pittsburgh 3-0 this season, including a 5-2 win in the most recent meeting on Apr 22
Goal differential and offense: Flyers score 3.67 goals/game vs Penguins 1.33, a +2.34 gap, and hold a +4.68 overall goal differential edge