All Picks
MLB · MoneylineLost
New York Yankees
@
Houston Astros
Date
Sun, Apr 26
Time
6:10 PM
Venue
Daikin Park
Spread
Yankees ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
PICK
Yankees ML
-136 · 1 Unit
78%
❌ Loss
New York Yankees 4, Houston Astros 7
-100.00u
The Edge
Despite Arrighetti's ERA edge on the mound, the Yankees' overwhelming team pitching superiority, elite road ATS record, and dominant recent form against this same Astros squad make them the clear side at a manageable -136 price.
Key Factors
Yankees team ERA is 3.10 vs Astros 6.04 — a 2.94-run gap, the single largest quality split in this matchup
Yankees are 10-4 (.714) ATS on the road this season; Astros are only 6-9 (.400) ATS at home
Yankees 8-2 ATS last 10 games and riding a W8 streak vs Astros on an L2 streak
Yankees +2.9 run differential edge on the season (+1.9 vs -1.0) and outscored Houston 20-7 in the two prior games of this series