All Picks
NHL · MoneylineWon
Colorado Avalanche
@
Los Angeles Kings
Date
Sun, Apr 26
Time
8:30 PM
Venue
crypto.com Arena
Spread
Avalanche ML
Odds
-170
Risk
MOD
PICK
Avalanche ML
-170 · 1 Unit
78%
✅ Winner
Colorado Avalanche 5, Los Angeles Kings 1
+58.82u
The Edge
Colorado's superior goaltending, dominant goal differential, and 3-0 head-to-head series advantage this season make them the clear side at a manageable -170, despite LA's ATS heat and home underdog tendencies.
Key Factors
Goalie edge: Wedgewood 0.921 SV% and 2.02 GAA vs Forsberg 0.910 SV% and 2.57 GAA — +0.011 SV% and -0.55 GAA in Colorado's favor
Team goaltending dominance: Colorado's 94.7% team SV% (#2 in league) vs LA's 92.2% (#7) — a 2.5-point gap that reflects systemic crease quality
Goal differential: Colorado +2.68 edge on the season (2.67 goals/game scored, 1.33 allowed vs LA's 1.33 scored, 2.67 allowed)
Head-to-head series: Colorado leads 3-0 this season (wins of 4-2, 2-1, 2-1), demonstrating consistent ability to control this specific matchup
Colorado riding a W3 streak with a 55-16-11 record (.738 win%) vs LA's 35-27-20 (.549) and current L2 streak