All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers
@
Anaheim Ducks
Date
Mon, Apr 27
Time
1:30 AM
Venue
Honda Center
Spread
Ducks ML
Odds
+114
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Ducks ML
+114 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
LEAN Ducks ML — Anaheim's elite home underdog ATS profile, superior team defense, and home-ice advantage in a rematch they just won 7-4 provide a directional edge, but Ingram's individual goalie quality and Edmonton's offensive firepower keep this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Anaheim ATS overall record is 55-27 (.671) vs Edmonton's 29-53 (.354) — a 32% gap in ATS win rate
Anaheim allows 1.33 fewer goals per game (4.00 GAA vs Edmonton's 5.33 GAA) and holds a +0.025 team SV% edge (87.4% vs 84.9%)
Anaheim is 27-14 ATS at home (.659) and 51-24 ATS as a home underdog (.680) — elite underdog home cover profile
Anaheim won the last head-to-head 7-4 at home and leads the season series 2-1, with momentum and familiarity on their side