All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
Date
Mon, Apr 27
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
PPG Paints Arena
Spread
Flyers ML
Odds
+114
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Flyers ML
+114 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Philadelphia's goaltending and defensive metrics are meaningfully superior, but the 1-3 head-to-head record this season and Pittsburgh's home advantage prevent this from reaching PICK threshold — lean Flyers ML at plus money.
Key Factors
Dan Vladar SV% 0.906 vs Arturs Silovs 0.888 — a +0.018 gap that is considered significant at the individual goalie level
Philadelphia team GAA 2.00 vs Pittsburgh 3.25 — a 1.25 goals-per-game defensive edge, one of the largest possible splits
Philadelphia team SV% 92.6% (#5 in league) vs Pittsburgh 89.1% (#24) — a +0.035 gap indicating a systemic crease quality advantage
Philadelphia road ATS record 24-17 (.585) and currently riding a W3 streak vs Pittsburgh's L3 skid