All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Anaheim Ducks
@
Edmonton Oilers
Date
Wed, Apr 29
Time
2:00 AM
Venue
Rogers Place
Spread
Ducks ML
Odds
+145
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Ducks ML
+145 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Anaheim's elite road ATS record and Edmonton's historically bad home cover rate create real +145 underdog value, but Ingram's goalie edge and Edmonton's offensive firepower keep this a lean rather than a strong pick.
Key Factors
Anaheim ATS on the road: 28-13 (.683) vs Edmonton ATS at home: 12-29 (.293) — a 39-point gap in cover rate
Anaheim's team GAA is 3.75 vs Edmonton's 5.00 — Ducks allow 1.25 fewer goals per game this season
Anaheim team SV% 87.7% vs Edmonton 86.3% — Ducks hold a +0.014 crease quality edge at the team level
Anaheim won the most recent head-to-head on Apr 27 (4-3) and leads the series 3-1 in the last four meetings this season