All Picks
NHL · MoneylineLost
Boston Bruins
@
Buffalo Sabres
Date
Tue, Apr 28
Time
11:30 PM
Venue
KeyBank Center
Spread
Sabres ML
Odds
-170
Risk
MOD
PICK
Sabres ML
-170 · 1 Unit
78%
❌ Loss
Boston Bruins 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
-100.00u
The Edge
Buffalo's superior home record, dominant season-series performance, significant team GAA edge, and hot ATS run make them a credible moderate favorite at -170 with enough concrete edges to justify a PICK.
Key Factors
Buffalo's team GAA is 2.25 vs Boston's 3.75 — a 1.50 goals-allowed gap that is the largest team-level defensive edge in this matchup
Buffalo leads the season series 3-1, including back-to-back wins of 6-1 and 3-1 in the most recent meetings, demonstrating clear head-to-head dominance
Buffalo is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and 23-18 ATS at home (.561), while Boston is a poor 17-24 ATS on the road (.415)
Buffalo's home record is 26-10-5 SU (.695) vs Boston's road record of 16-16-9 (.500), and Buffalo scores 3.75 goals/game vs Boston's 2.25 — a 1.50 offensive edge