All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Seattle Mariners
@
Minnesota Twins
Date
Wed, Apr 29
Time
5:40 PM
Venue
Target Field
Spread
Mariners ML
Odds
-131
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-131 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
A lean toward Seattle ML is supported by superior team pitching metrics and Minnesota's poor home-favorite ATS record, but the Twins' underdog value at +109 and Seattle's dreadful road ATS history keep this firmly in LEAN territory.
Key Factors
Seattle team ERA 3.69 vs Minnesota team ERA 4.40 — a 0.71 gap favoring the Mariners' pitching staff as a whole
Seattle team WHIP 1.25 vs Minnesota team WHIP 1.37 — Mariners allow fewer baserunners per inning across the season
Seattle road ATS as underdog is 1-2 (.333) but Minnesota ATS as home favorite is just 1-4 (.200), suggesting the Twins struggle to cover when favored at home
Seattle on a W1 streak including a 7-1 blowout win in this same series yesterday; Minnesota on L1 and has lost 4 of last 5 overall