All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Date
Wed, Apr 29
Time
10:40 PM
Venue
PNC Park
Spread
Cardinals ML
Odds
+123
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
+123 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Cardinals ML is a LEAN — the momentum, starter edge, and plus-money price create directional value, but Pittsburgh's superior team pitching metrics and elite home underdog ATS record prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Cardinals are 7-3 ATS last 10 games, the hottest ATS trend in this matchup
Starter ERA edge: Pallante 4.26 vs Chandler 4.88 — a 0.62 ERA gap favoring STL
Cardinals have won both prior meetings this series (11-7, 4-2) and Pittsburgh is on an L3 streak
Cardinals road ATS record is 8-6 (.571) vs Pirates home ATS of 8-7 (.533) — STL edges PIT even away from home; Cardinals team OPS 0.722 vs Pirates 0.704 with better power (38 HR vs 32 HR)