All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Utah Mammoth
@
Vegas Golden Knights
Date
Thu, Apr 30
Time
2:00 AM
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Spread
Golden Knights ML
Odds
-166
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Golden Knights ML
-166 · 1 Unit
62%

The Edge

A lean toward Vegas ML on home ice, superior power play, and elite home underdog ATS record, but Utah's goaltending edge and hot ATS form keep confidence below PICK threshold.

Key Factors

Vegas ATS as home underdog this season: 13-2 (.867) — elite home cover rate in underdog spots
Vegas home ATS record 25-16 (.610) vs Utah road ATS 23-18 (.561) — home edge is real
Vegas PP goals/game 0.50 vs Utah 0.25 — double the power play production, critical in 1-2 goal NHL games
Carter Hart personal SV% 0.891 and GAA 2.71 in 18 GP — strong individual numbers despite team SV% drag; Vegas on W3 streak