All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Dallas Stars
@
Minnesota Wild
Date
Thu, Apr 30
Time
11:30 PM
Venue
Grand Casino Arena
Spread
Wild ML
Odds
-122
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Wild ML
-122 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Minnesota's goaltending and defensive structure give a genuine edge, but Dallas's win streak, strong overall record, and Minnesota's poor home ATS trend keep this a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Wallstedt SV% 0.916 vs Oettinger 0.899 — a +0.017 gap that is considered significant at the goalie level, the highest-leverage position in hockey
Minnesota team SV% 92.6% (#5 in league) vs Dallas 89.9% (#16) — a +0.027 team-wide crease quality gap
Minnesota allows 2.60 goals/game vs Dallas 3.60 — a full goal fewer allowed per game, the cleanest team quality signal available
Dallas is 3-7 ATS last 10 and missing Roope Hintz (C) and Nathan Bastian (RW), meaningfully weakening their forward depth and offensive output