All Picks
NHL · Moneyline
Edmonton Oilers
@
Anaheim Ducks
Date
Fri, May 1
Time
2:00 AM
Venue
Honda Center
Spread
Oilers ML
Odds
-130
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Oilers ML
-130 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
Ingram's goalie edge and the recent series win give Edmonton a directional lean on the moneyline, but Anaheim's elite ATS home profile and explosive home offense make this a lean, not a pick.
Key Factors
Connor Ingram SV% 0.899 vs Dostal 0.888 — +0.011 gap, the single highest-leverage factor in hockey
Edmonton team SV% 88.2% (#28) vs Anaheim 86.7% (#32) — Oilers hold the crease quality edge at both individual and team level
Edmonton won the last head-to-head 4-1 on Apr 29 and leads the season series 3-2
Edmonton faceoff% 52.7% vs Anaheim 47.3% — meaningful puck possession edge that drives shot quality