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NBA · SpreadWon
Detroit Pistons
@
Orlando Magic
Date
Fri, May 1
Time
11:00 PM
Venue
Kia Center
Spread
Pistons -3.5
Odds
-110
Risk
MOD
PICK
Pistons -3.5
-110 · 1 Unit
78%
✅ Winner
Detroit Pistons 93, Orlando Magic 79
+90.91u
The Edge
Detroit's massive Net Rating edge, elite road ATS record, and Orlando's two-starter absences combine to make the Pistons a legitimate -3.5 cover in what should be a closeout performance.
Key Factors
Detroit's Net Rating of +7.9 vs Orlando's +0.6 — a +7.3 gap, the strongest team-quality predictor available
Orlando missing Franz Wagner and Jonathan Isaac (both OUT), a two-starter absence that warrants re-evaluating the spread from scratch per methodology
Detroit is 25-16 ATS (.610) on the road this season — elite road ATS performance well above the .550 threshold
Detroit won Game 5 at home 116-109 and leads the series 3-2, carrying momentum into a potential closeout game