All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
San Francisco Giants
@
Tampa Bay Rays
Date
Fri, May 1
Time
11:10 PM
Venue
Tropicana Field
Spread
Rays ML
Odds
-149
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-149 · 1 Unit
68%
The Edge
Lean Rays ML on the strength of their home dominance and offensive edge, but the starter ERA gap favoring Ray keeps this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Rays are 8-4 at home (.667 win pct) vs Giants 6-9 on the road (.400 win pct) — an 18% home/road split gap
Tampa Bay ATS as home favorite: 11-7 (.611) vs San Francisco ATS as road underdog: 10-10 (.500)
Rays have scored 137 runs vs Giants' 104 runs — a 32% offensive output advantage on the season
Tampa Bay team WHIP 1.24 vs San Francisco 1.32, and Rays' opponents OPS (.683) is lower than Giants' opponents OPS (.702), indicating superior pitching quality