All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Texas Rangers
@
Detroit Tigers
Date
Sat, May 2
Time
11:15 PM
Venue
Comerica Park
Spread
Tigers ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-136 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Detroit's home dominance and offensive edge provide a directional lean at a reasonable -136 price, but Texas's superior pitching metrics and last-night's win in this same park keep this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Detroit home record is 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS (.692) — one of the stronger home splits in the data
Tigers team OPS .737 vs Rangers .695, and 146 runs scored vs 125 — a clear offensive gap
Montero ERA (4.00) vs Rocker ERA (3.38) is close but within 0.62 — not a decisive pitching edge for Texas
Texas ATS as road favorite is a poor 4-10 (.286), suggesting the market consistently overvalues them away from home