All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Mets
@
Los Angeles Angels
Date
Sun, May 3
Time
1:38 AM
Venue
Angel Stadium
Spread
Angels ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Angels ML
+113 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
A LEAN toward the Angels ML at +113 is justified by their offensive superiority and home underdog ATS profile, but McLean's ERA advantage over Detmers keeps this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Angels team OPS (.720) is 89 points higher than Mets (.720 vs .631), and they've scored 43 more runs on the season (153 vs 110)
Angels ATS overall record is 17-16 (.515) vs Mets' 10-22 (.313) — a 20% gap in ATS win rate flagged as a key signal
Angels as home underdog ATS record is 14-12 (.538), a reliable cover pattern that applies directly here at +113
McLean ERA (2.55) is better on paper, but Detmers (4.28) is the known quantity — McLean is unproven with limited IP context and the ERA sample is small and potentially misleading