All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers
@
Washington Nationals
Date
Sun, May 3
Time
5:35 PM
Venue
Nationals Park
Spread
Brewers ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-136 · 1 Unit
72%
The Edge
Milwaukee is a LEAN at -136 given Littell's 7.85 ERA, superior team pitching, and elite road ATS record, but the unknown Brewers starter prevents this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Washington's confirmed starter Zack Littell is 0-4 with a 7.85 ERA — an extreme liability that alone tilts the pitching matchup heavily toward Milwaukee
Milwaukee team ERA is 3.56 vs Washington's 4.90, a 1.34-run gap; opponent OPS allowed is 0.672 vs 0.775 — systemic pitching superiority
Brewers are 10-4 (.714) ATS on the road this season — elite road performance; Nationals are just 3-12 SU and 5-10 (.333) ATS at home
Milwaukee has won 3 straight including back-to-back wins in this exact series (4-1, 6-1) and carries a +1.9 run differential edge over Washington