All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
New York Mets
@
Los Angeles Angels
Date
Sun, May 3
Time
8:07 PM
Venue
Angel Stadium
Spread
Angels ML
Odds
+113
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Angels ML
+113 · 1 Unit
62%
The Edge
A LEAN on the Angels ML at +113 is justified by their superior offense, home ATS edge, and underdog plus-money value, but Holmes' elite 1.75 ERA caps confidence below PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Angels team OPS is .720 vs Mets .720 — Angels offense outpaces Mets (.629 OPS) by a wide .091 margin, the largest offensive gap in this matchup
Angels ATS overall record is 18-16 (.529) vs Mets 10-23 (.303), a 23% gap in ATS win rate favoring LAA
Angels at home ATS: 8-6 (.571) vs Mets on the road ATS: 6-9 (.400), home/road splits favor LAA
Angels run differential (-0.3) is meaningfully better than Mets (-1.1), and LAA has scored 157 runs vs NYM's 113 in comparable games played