All Picks
MLB · MoneylineWon
Atlanta Braves
@
Colorado Rockies
Date
Sun, May 3
Time
7:10 PM
Venue
Coors Field
Spread
Braves ML
Odds
-168
Risk
MOD
PICK
Braves ML
-168 · 1 Unit
78%
✅ Winner
Atlanta Braves 11, Colorado Rockies 6
+59.52u
The Edge
Atlanta's combination of elite road ATS performance, dominant run differential, superior pitching metrics, and back-to-back wins over this same Rockies team justifies a PICK at -168, though Strider's IL return status is the primary risk to monitor.
Key Factors
Atlanta's team ERA of 3.11 vs Colorado's 4.42 — a 1.31-run gap — combined with opponent OPS allowed of .632 vs .775 shows a massive pitching quality edge
Braves are 12-4 (.750) ATS on the road this season, one of the strongest road ATS marks in the league
Atlanta outscores opponents by +2.2 runs/game vs Colorado at -0.5, a +2.7 differential that reflects genuine team quality separation
Colorado has lost 5 of last 6 including 1-9 and 6-8 losses to Atlanta in this exact series, showing no signs of correcting against this opponent